Monday, 26 March 2007

Aussies storming ahead

Australia's win over South Africa opens up the gap between Australia and the rest of the world as they take the points through to the Ultra Eight stage and stretch their lead in my rankings.

Australia 37% (+5%)
New Zealand 22%
South Africa 21% (-6%)
Sri Lanka 13% (+1%)
West Indies 6%
England 1%
Bangladesh 0.10% (-0.03%)
Ireland 0.00%

Meanwhile chances of reaching the semi-final stage are as follows:
Australia 95%
New Zealand 85%
South Africa 75%
Sri Lanka 72%
West Indies 51%
England 17%
Bangladesh 5%
Ireland 0.00%
South Africa are the only team looking in a good position to overtake the 4 teams who carry forward points from their groups to the next stage.
The statistical approach appears to be a bit harsh on Ireland.

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